Darius Acuff Jr.

Pick 7 · model's rank #14 · consensus #7 · Arkansas · Guard · 19.6 on draft night

Fair-value distribution

P(star) 12% [5–30% bootstrap]

Out of league: 8%Fringe: 7%Rotation: 50%Starter: 22%All-Star level: 6%Elite: 6%

Out of leagueFringeRotationStarterAll-Star levelEliteEach bar is the model's chance the player's first 4 NBA seasons land in that tier.

7.1

model EV

8.6

slot-implied EV (pick 7)

8.6

consensus-implied EV

Why the model prices him here

▲ Elite offensive production for the level(porpag +1.53)
▲ Strong offensive impact numbers(obpm_c +0.77)
▲ Young for the class, and time is on his side(age_at_draft +0.74)
▼ Takes care of the ball, maybe too well: ultra-safe play historically reads conservative, not creative(tov_pct -0.59)
▲ Produced as an underclassman(class_ord +0.48)
▲ Clean decision-making in the numbers(ast_tov +0.45)
▲ Trades the offensive glass for getting back in transition, a trade that has historically paid off for perimeter players(orb_pct +0.45)
▼ Undersized for the role(height_in -0.44)

Closest historical profiles

Same position group, matched on career-predictive stats

Nik StauskasRotation
Markelle FultzRotation
Jalen BrunsonRotation
Trey BurkeRotation
Reggie JacksonRotation

Scout's desk

Create a free account to keep your book

Write what you saw on film. The system reads it against a fixed checklist of skills and nudges the numbers. The update is capped, so a note is evidence, never a veto.