Jayden Quaintance
San Antonio Spurs · Where the model ranks the player within this class by expected value. Full glossary → #18 · Where the pre-draft consensus of mock boards ranked the player. Full glossary → #24 · Kentucky · Big · 19 on draft nightFair-value distribution
Chance of reaching All-Star level or better
12% best guess
range 7% to 35% (wider = less sure)
Each segment is the chance his first 4 NBA seasons land in that tier. Full glossary →
6.3
The model's expected career value for a player, on a 0 to 40 scale: 1 is a fringe player, 8 a starter, 20 an All-Star, 40 an all-time great. Full glossary →
4.3
The average career value a draft slot has returned historically. What that pick costs in value terms. Full glossary → (pick 20)
3.7
The career value players ranked where the consensus put him have historically returned. Like slot price, but from the mock-draft consensus instead of his actual pick. Full glossary →
The model's number is his fair price; the other two are what his draft slot and consensus rank usually buy. Hover any underlined term for its meaning.
His final college season was too small to grade on its own, so the model scores a His final college season was too small to grade alone, so the model scores a minutes-weighted blend of his last full season plus everything after it. The tiny recent sample still counts, just at its real weight. Full glossary → anchored on his 2024-25 season. The model cannot see the injury or absence itself; read the range accordingly.
Why the model prices him here
- ▼ Offensive production below the bar(porpag -1.14)
- ▲ Young for the class, and time is on his side(age_at_draft +1.07)
- ▲ Produced as an underclassman(class_ord +0.79)
- ▲ Plays above the rim(dunk_share +0.68)
- ▼ Crashes the offensive glass, real value on the margins, though history reads it as a role-player trait more than a star signal(orb_pct -0.54)
- ▲ Efficiency concerns, though history is kinder to imperfect volume scorers than the stat suggests(ts +0.52)
- ▲ NBA-caliber length(wingspan +0.52)
- ▼ Offensive impact numbers lag(obpm_c -0.50)
Closest historical college profiles at the player's position, showing the range his profile has produced. Full glossary →
The closest college profiles at his position, showing the range this profile has produced, floor to ceiling. A ★ is an The star marks a real All-Star selection in the player's first four seasons. Full glossary →; the role word (Carries the offense: high usage, the primary creator. Full glossary →, Wins without the ball: complements stars rather than needing volume. Full glossary →, A high-usage secondary star alongside a lead option. Full glossary →) says how he produced it; A career that kept climbing after the four-year window the tiers measure. Full glossary → flags a career that kept climbing.
- Andre DrummondStarter ★ · Connector, later All-Star level
- Steven AdamsRotation
- Isaiah JacksonRotation
- Noah VonlehRotation
- Deyonta DavisFringe
Scout's desk
Create a free account to keep your bookWrite what you saw on film, the way you'd tell another scout: "the jumper is real, but he loses his man off the ball." The desk reads your Free text you write about what you saw. The model reads it and nudges the numbers, capped so a note is evidence, never a veto. Full glossary →, scores the skills you mention, and moves his chances a little, never all at once, so one hot take can't flip the board. Save notes to build your book, and your view of him shows up beside the model's across the site.